Now regular readers of my articles of the Cambridge Property
Blog know of my love of the ‘buy to let seesaw’. On one side of the seesaw is
yield and the other capital growth. Landlords should be looking for a high
rental yield so that they can comfortably cover any mortgage payments and make
some profit from the income return, but you also want the property to rise in
value over time so you can get some capital growth when you come to sell. However,
high yielding property in say such areas as Arbury or Milton in Cambridge, (so
the seesaw arm with yield on it goes up on one side), will suffer from low
capital growth (so the other arm with capital growth on the seesaw goes
down). The relationship works in reverse
as well, so in such upmarket areas as Trumpington, properties offer good
capital growth, but at the expense of a decent yield.
The North East and North West of the UK are landlord magnets
for great yields. The average yield in Cambridge today is 4.29%, which when you
compare with say Hartlepool in the North East, which achieves 7.73% or 9.43% in the Anfield area of Liverpool,
doesn’t look too healthy. Now of course, these are only averages and some of my
Cambridge landlords are achieving 6% to 7% on some of their Cambridge
properties, but at the expense of capital growth. Anyway, after wasting a tank
full of petrol up the A1 to Teesside or the M1 to the Home of the ‘The Reds’, that Liverpool property, would have dropped
in value by 2.2% in the last 12 months and the Hartlepool property would have
dropped by 1.4%.
When you compare the long term house price growth, it gets
even worse. Looking at the
graph, Since 1995, property values in Cambridge have risen by 220.68%,compared
with Hartlepool at 21.02% and Liverpool at 90.11% – it just shows you shouldn’t always
chase the yield because of the poor increases in property values in those two
places. As I always like to explain to landlords when
they either email me, pick up the phone or pop into my offices for a coffee (both
my own and even landlords who use other agents (you are all welcome at ours),
together with soon to be FTL’s (first time landlords)), a decent yield
is important, but when you come to sell your buy to let property it would also be
nice to make a decent profit.
At the end of the day, as a Cambridge landlord, you want to
be making gains from both your rent and house price growth, particularly when
you want to sell, because when combined, the rental yields and capital growth,
that gives you the real return on your investment.
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